A repository for Marcospinelli's comments and essays published at other websites.

Presidential Campaign Can Help Americans Learn about Social Security

Sunday, February 2, 2020




There is no doubt that Biden has in the past supported cuts to Social Security. But there are other reasons, too, that Social Security should really be a prominent issue in this presidential campaign. Despite the fact that about one-sixth of Americans get a check from Social Security ― and millions more, including poor children, are helped immensely by it ― the nation’s largest anti-poverty program remains vastly misunderstood by most of the country.
In March, a Pew Research poll found that only 16 percent of Americans believed that the Social Security system would be able to pay promised benefits to older Americans when they retire. Polls showing majorities who do not believe that they will see anything from Social Security are common.
In reality, there is no reason for anyone to believe such wild nonsense. Social Security has paid all promised benefits for more than 75 years, and there is nothing in its finances indicating that the future will be different. Current projections show an eventual gap between forecast resources and promised benefits. But that gap going forward is much smaller than what was closed in the past. Anyone with knowledge of the subject matter can tell you with “high confidence,” as the UN climate reports like to say about global warming, that this relatively small gap will also be closed. And there is no need, or reason, to close it with any kind of benefit cuts.
But a look at the Social Security section of the Biden campaign website leaves cause for skepticism and concern. “The impending exhaustion of the Social Security Trust fund imperils American retirement as we know it.” Um, not really: the Trust Fund sits at $2.8 trillion right now, and it’s got 15 years before it would be exhausted. And it’s never going to be the main source of Social Security benefits, 77 percent of which would still be paid when it’s used up. And as noted above, revenues will inevitably be increased before this catastrophe could materialize.
A better approach to this problem is to first acknowledge that we have been fed a load of cow manure about Social Security’s finances for decades, and then show how it is affordable to expand Social Security so that people who depend on it for their retirement can escape poverty. That has been Sanders’ approach.
There’s a lot at stake, and a lot could go wrong, as policy-makers decide how to close the gap that is continuously brought about by people living longer. Social Security keeps more than 27 million people above the poverty line, including at least 1.5 million children. A lot of people could get hurt by changes that don’t make headline news. So, it might be good to have someone at the helm who has seen through the false narrative that we have been fed, has a consistent record on the issue, and a clear picture of what to fight for.

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